Category : Blockchain

Blockchain

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swing

During a U.S. stock selloff, oil jumped on renewed Middle East conflict headlines as Treasury yields climbed and fed funds futures boosted the implied chance of a September hike. (Read More)

Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nears

A report says the Senate is preparing to vote on Russia sanctions next week, putting the issue on the near-term political calendar. (Read More)

Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff news

As a stopgap tariff window expires, a report says President Donald Trump is pressing ahead with new 10% to 12.5% tariffs on imports from 60 countries. Polymarket traders care because the “U.S. (Read More)

Polymarket sees July Fed hold at 74% as BTC nears $69K and ETF inflows

Bitcoin is nearing a $69,000 test as ETF inflows persist, even as pros stay cautious about positioning. (Read More)

Polymarket holds Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as US-Iran strikes escalate

A U.S. military statement said it began a new round of strikes against Iran as clashes intensified around shipping routes near the Strait of Hormuz. (Read More)

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulate

A newly published commentary says DHS identified 278,000 noncitizens on voter rolls, amplifying election-integrity debate around prediction markets. (Read More)

Polymarket odds sink to 51.5% on Hormuz traffic normalizing by year-end

A report says President Donald Trump warned of the largest strikes on Iran yet after retaliatory attacks across the Gulf, as the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut since late February. (Read More)

Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election market

A new data-driven analysis asks whether a Democratic Socialist could win a chaotic Wisconsin governor primary, spotlighting how crowded fields keep uncertainty high. (Read More)

Polymarket lifts 2026 Fed hike odds to 71.5% as Brent tops $100

A TV segment this week spotlighted Brent crude crossing $100 after Houthi strikes jolted oil markets. (Read More)

Polymarket prices Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July amid kill switch bill

US lawmakers have floated the “AI Kill Switch Act,” letting the DHS Secretary order certain AI systems throttled or shut down and requiring built-in shutdown controls. (Read More)

Polymarket invasion odds for Iran jump to 30.5% after Houthi-Riyadh headline

A new report warned another Middle East “oil artery” is under threat as the Houthis are described as “testing Riyadh,” amplifying escalation and shipping-risk concerns. (Read More)

Polymarket prices Lula at 60.5% in Brazil race after +11pp jump

A new AARP poll in Georgia’s 2026 Senate race shows Democrat Jon Ossoff leading Republican Mike Collins, adding to other surveys that also put Ossoff ahead. (Read More)

Polymarket sees 73% odds of July Fed hold as volatility stays high

A new explainer breaks down why some people say a promised “free $1,000” tied to a “Trump account” still hasn’t arrived and what to check next. (Read More)

Polymarket prices 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 on $44.6M volume

A Rabobank note circulated this week warning elevated European natural-gas prices could persist, shaping inflation and policy-rate expectations. (Read More)

Polymarket keeps 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as Trump Iran warning hits news

In a new report, Donald Trump warned Iran would be held responsible for any future Houthi attacks. (Read More)

Polymarket odds peg Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July end

The White House OSTP’s “Science: A New Golden Age” report calls for major changes in how federally funded research is run, even as it pairs pro-science rhetoric with proposed cuts. (Read More)

Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jitters

A new report says Trump has reignited a tariff fight despite legal setbacks, spooking GOP allies and rivals as they reposition. (Read More)

Polymarket: Le Pen holds 30% in 2027 France race as reversal signal hits tape

A polling headline showed Democrats up 11 points on the U.S. generic congressional ballot, highlighting how cross-country political signals can spill into prediction markets. (Read More)

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yields

A recent report pointed to surging oil prices and rising global bond yields, reviving inflation worries ahead of the Fed’s September meeting. (Read More)

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by mid-2027 jump to 15.5% on EU sanctions

After weeks of negotiations, EU countries agreed a softened 21st Russia sanctions package targeting energy, finance, crypto and trade, while keeping the oil price cap frozen for 12 months. (Read More)

Polymarket: Hormuz normal-traffic odds stuck at 13.5% amid lawsuit fallout

On July 23, 2026, a report said sailors from a Thai cargo ship attacked in the Strait of Hormuz sued the ship’s owners, alleging ignored Iran warnings. (Read More)

Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoil

A new report says Trump’s latest tariff push has entered an “ugly phase,” fueling voter backlash and friction with U.S. allies. (Read More)

AAVE Price Prediction: $100 Is the Wall — Break It or Bleed Back to $93

AAVE is knocking on the $100–$101 resistance cluster with momentum gone completely flat and open interest quietly bleeding — a failed breakout here sends price back to $93 fast, but a confirmed clo... (Read More)

LDO Price Prediction: Overbought at $0.39 With Momentum Dead — Fade the Squeeze or Get Trapped

LDO is sitting in a textbook exhaustion zone — RSI north of 71, MACD histogram zeroed out, and price pinned against upper Bollinger Band resistance at $0.41. The high-probability trade here is a ne... (Read More)

HBAR Price Prediction: $0.08 or Bust — The Make-or-Break Level Arrives Today

HBAR is pressing hard against its Bollinger upper band at $0.08 following a 4.70% session pump, but a stochastic reading of 96.72 and a flatlined MACD say this rally is living on borrowed time — a ... (Read More)

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